Long-range optical coherence tomography of pediatric airway during drug induced sleep endoscopy: A preliminary report.

OBJECTIVE: Drug induced sleep endoscopy (DISE) is often performed for pediatric obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) when initial diagnostic studies do not provide adequate information for therapy. However, DISE scoring is subjective and with limitations. This proof-of-concept study demonstrates the use of a novel long-range optical coherence tomography (LR-OCT) system during DISE of two pediatric patients. METHODS: LR-OCT was used to visualize the airway of pediatric patients during DISE. At the conclusion of DISE, the OCT probe was guided in the airway under endoscopic visual guidance, and cross-sectional images were acquired at the four VOTE locations. Data processing involved image resizing and alignment, followed by rendering of three-dimensional (3D) volumetric models of the airways. RESULTS: Two patients were included in this study. Patient one had 18.4%, 20.9%, 72.3%, and 97.3% maximal obstruction at velum, oropharynx, tongue base, and epiglottis, while patient two had 40.2%, 41.4%, 8.0%, and 17.5% maximal obstruction at these regions, respectively. Three-dimensional reconstructions of patients' airways were also constructed from the OCT images. CONCLUSION: This proof-of-concept study demonstrates the successful evaluation of pediatric airway during DISE using LR-OCT, which accurately identified sites and degrees of obstruction with respective 3D airway reconstruction.

Artificial Intelligence Versus Human Focus Group Rating of Facial Attractiveness.

Background: Many open-access artificial intelligence (AI)-based websites that rate facial attractiveness are available, but none have been compared with human focus group outcomes. Objective: To compare human and AI-based websites scoring of facial attractiveness of adult female white faces. Methods: A 40-photograph database of AI-generated adult, white, female, expressionless, and frontal-view facial images were scored by otolaryngology residents and five AI-based facial rating websites: prettyscale.com, attractivenesstest.com, face-score.com/en, hotchat3000.com, and beautyscoretest.com. Sample t-test and bivariate correlation were performed for statistical analyses. Results: The focus group of 24 otolaryngology residents consisted of 62.5% males and 58.3% white participants. There was a strong positive correlation between average human score and average AI score for each photo (Pearson's correlation 0.84, p < 0.01). The average human raters' scores were significantly lower than the average AI scores (5.0 ± 1.8 vs. 6.9 ± 0.9, p < 0.01). Thirty images (75.0%) had statistically higher scores from the AI websites versus the focus group. On correlation analysis, all AI-based websites individually had scores that positively correlate with the human scores (all p < 0.05). Conclusion: AI-based websites and human focus-group scoring of facial attractiveness of adult white female faces were significantly correlated with the AI ratings biased toward higher values, encouraging their cautious utilization in future research.

The impact of nasal packing on skull base reconstruction and quality-of-life outcomes following endoscopic skull base surgery.

KEY POINTS: Nasal packing type was not associated with postoperative cerebrospinal fluid leaks Nondissolvable packing conferred an increased risk for postoperative sinonasal infections Nasal packing type did not influence short- and long-term quality-of-life scores.

Impact of facility volume on survival in primary endoscopic surgery for sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the impact of facility volume on outcomes following primary endoscopic surgical management of sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma (SNSCC). METHODS: The 2010-2016 National Cancer DataBase (NCDB) was queried for patients diagnosed with T1-T4a SNSCC surgically treated endoscopically as the primary treatment modality. Factors associated with overall survival (OS) were evaluated, including facility volume. RESULTS: A total of 330 patients who underwent endoscopic surgical management of SNSCC were treated at 356 unique facilities designated as either low-volume (LVC; treating 1-2 cases; 0-75th percentile), intermediate-volume centers (IVC; 3-4 cases total; 75th-90th percentile), or 144 high-volume (HVC; treating 5+ cases total; >90th percentile) centers. HVC treated patients with higher T staging (42.1 % vs. 29.8 %) and tumors in the maxillary sinus (26.9 % vs. 13.2 %) and ethmoid sinus (10.3 % vs. ≤8.3 %), while LVCs treated lower T stage tumors (70.2 % vs. 57.9 %) and tumors that were located in the nasal cavity (70.2-78.5 % vs. 62.8 %). On multivariable analysis, factors associated with decreased OS included higher T stage (T3/T4a vs. T1/T2; OR 1.92, 95 % CI 1.06-3.47) and older age (>65 vs. <65; OR 2.69, 95 % CI 1.62-4.49). Cases treated at high-volume centers were not associated with a higher likelihood of OS when compared to low-volume centers (OR 0.70, 95 % CI 0.36-1.35). CONCLUSIONS: HVC are treating more primary tumors of the maxillary and ethmoid sinuses and tumors with higher T stages with endoscopic approaches, although this does not appear to be associated with increased OS. SHORT SUMMARY: Sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma (SNSCC) presents late in disease process with poor prognosis. We investigated the impact of facility volume on outcomes following endoscopic treatment of SNSCC. High-volume centers treat more advanced and complex disease with comparable OS.

Triamcinolone Injection for Cochlear Implant Magnet Adherence Issues.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the effectiveness of triamcinolone injections in treating external magnet displacement in cochlear implant (CI) patients with adhesions problems of their processor. PATIENTS: We present seven CI patients with magnet adhesion issues who presented to our tertiary care neurotology clinic. None of the patients had a history of head trauma, postimplant MRI, or surgery in the head and neck other than the cochlear implantation. INTERVENTION: Triamcinolone 40 mg/mL injected subcutaneously at the CI magnet site. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Reduction of scalp thickness and successful magnet retention. RESULTS: Our cohort consisted of seven patients (eight implant sites) of which five were overweight or obese. The temporoparietal scalp thickness measured on preoperative CT scans varied between 8.4 and 15.9 mm. Initial conservative measures such as hair shaving at the magnet site, using a headband, and increasing magnet strength failed in all patients. After receiving triamcinolone injections at the CI receiver site, six out of seven patients (seven out of eight CI sites) were able to use their processor again without the need for a headband for an average of 9.55 hours/day. The average number of injections required for each patient was 2.57 (SD = 2.18), median (range) = 1 (1-7). One patient required a flap thinning surgery but showed no improvement even after flap thinning. None of the patients showed skin irritation, breakdown, ulceration, necrosis, or magnet exposure during follow-up period. CONCLUSIONS: The significant improvement in CI retention shows that triamcinolone injections are effective in making the subcutaneous tissue thinner and allowing magnet retention.

Correlation Between Laterality of Hearing Loss and Migraine Features in Menière's Disease.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study is to understand whether the hearing loss laterality in Menière's disease (MD) correlates with migraine symptoms laterality such as headache, neck stiffness, and otalgia. METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of prospectively obtained data on patients presenting between September 2015 and October 2021 with definite or probable MD. A custom-designed, comprehensive questionnaire was used to identify patients' migraine-related symptoms. The clinical and audiometric data were used to diagnose patients with definite or probable MD using criteria set by the American Academy of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery. RESULTS: In total, 113 patients with definite or probable MD were included in the study. The mean age of the patients was 60 ± 15 years with no gender predominance (49.6% male and 50.4% female). A total of 57 (50%) patients were presented with headaches. Among the migraine headache cohort, headache and otalgia were on the same side as the MD ear affected by hearing loss. In addition, in patients who present with otalgia as the primary feature of headache, otalgia was more likely to be on the same side as the ear affected by the hearing loss. CONCLUSIONS: The high prevalence of migraine symptoms on the same side of the ear affected by MD among this cohort could suggest a shared pathophysiology in both MD and migraine, possibly involving migraine-related changes in both the cochlea and vestibule.

Head and neck solitary fibrous tumors: A review of the National Cancer Database.

BACKGROUND: Head and neck solitary fibrous tumors (SFTs) are rare neoplasms, with few large-scale studies describing this entity. We evaluated the demographics and correlates of survival in a large series of SFT patients. METHODS: The 2004-2017 National Cancer Database was queried for head and neck SFT patients receiving definitive surgery. Cox proportional-hazards and Kaplan-Meier analyses assessed overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Of 135 patients, sinonasal (33.1%) and orbital (25.9%) SFTs were most common. Approximately 93% of SFTs were invasive and 64% were classified as hemangiopericytomas. The 5-year OS of skull base SFTs (84.5%) was lower than sinonasal (98.7%) and orbital (90.7%) SFTs (all p < 0.05). Government insurance exhibited higher mortality (HR 5.116; p < 0.001) and lower OS (p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Head and neck SFTs presented with distinct prognoses based on anatomical origin. Overall survival was particularly worse in patients with skull base SFTs or government insurance. Prognostically, hemangiopericytomas were indistinct from other SFTs.

Artificial neural network prediction of post-thyroidectomy outcome.

OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to develop a deep neural network (DNN) for predicting surgical/medical complications and unplanned reoperations following thyroidectomy. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The 2005-2017 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database was queried to extract patients who underwent thyroidectomy. A DNN consisting of 10 layers was developed with an 80:20 breakdown for training and testing. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Three primary outcomes of interest, including occurrence of surgical complications, medical complications, and unplanned reoperation were predicted. RESULTS: Of the 21 550 patients who underwent thyroidectomy, medical complications, surgical complications and reoperation occurred in 1723 (8.0%), 943 (4.38%) and 2448 (11.36%) patients, respectively. The DNN performed with an area under the curve of receiver operating characteristics of .783 (medical complications), .709 (surgical complications) and .703 (reoperations). Accuracy, specificity and negative predictive values of the model for all outcome variables ranged 78.2%-97.2%, while sensitivity and positive predictive values ranged 11.6%-62.5%. Variables with high permutation importance included sex, inpatient versus outpatient and American Society of Anesthesiologists class. CONCLUSIONS: We predicted surgical/medical complications and unplanned reoperation following thyroidectomy via development of a well-performing ML algorithm. We have also developed a web-based application available on mobile devices to demonstrate the predictive capacity of our models in real time.

Association Between Metabolic Syndrome and Outcomes in Complex Head and Neck Surgery.

OBJECTIVES: We aim to evaluate the impact of MetS on the short-term postoperative outcomes of complex head and neck surgery patients. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort analysis of the 2005 to 2017 National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. NSQIP database was queried for 30-day outcomes of patients undergoing complex head and neck surgeries, defined as laryngectomy or mucosal resection followed by free tissue transfer, similar to prior NSQIP studies. Patients with hypertension, diabetes, and body mass index (BMI) >30 kg/m2 were defined as having MetS. Adverse events were defined as experiencing readmission, reoperation, surgical/medical complications, or mortality. RESULTS: A total of 2764 patients (27.0% female) with a mean age of 62.0 ± 11.7 years were included. Patients with MetS (n = 108, 3.9%) were more likely to be female (P = .017) and have high ASA classification (P = .030). On univariate analysis, patients with MetS were more likely to require reoperation (25.9% vs 16.7%, P = .013) and experience medical complications (26.9% vs 15.4% P = .001) or any adverse events (61.1% vs 48.7%, P = .011) compared to patients without MetS. On multivariate logistic regression after adjusting for age, sex, race, ASA classification, and complex head and neck surgery type, MetS was an independent predictor of medical complications (odds ratio 2.34, 95% CI 1.28-4.27, P = .006). CONCLUSION: Patients with MetS undergoing complex head and neck surgery are at increased risk of experiencing medical complications. Identifying patients with MetS can therefore aid surgeons in preoperative risk assessment and help improve postoperative management. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: N/A.

Frailty, Age, ASA Classification, and BMI on Postoperative Morbidity in Mandibular Fracture ORIF.

OBJECTIVE: To assess how traditional, simple markers of health independently affect postoperative morbidity of mandibular fracture open reduction-internal fixations (ORIFs). STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: National Surgical Quality Improvement Project (NSQIP) Database. METHODS: The 2005 to 2017 NSQIP database was queried for patients who underwent mandibular ORIF. To control for the severity of the trauma, an additional "concurrent surgery" variable was created. A modified 5-item frailty index was calculated based on the following: presurgery-dependent functional status, chronic hypertension, diabetes mellitus, history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and history of congestive heart failure. RESULTS: Among 1806 patients with mandibular ORIFs (mean age 34.8 ± 15.4 years), modified frailty index (mFI) was associated with 30-day medical complications (p < .001), reoperation (p < .001), and readmission (p = .005) on univariate analysis. Increased age was associated with prolonged hospitalization (p < .001) and medical complications (p < .001). The increased American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score was associated with all endpoints (p ≤ .003), while increased body mass index (BMI) was associated with none. On multivariate analysis, only increased ASA was associated with any adverse event (reference: ASA 1; ASA 2, odds ratio [OR]: 2.17 [95% confidence interval, CI: 2.17-3.71], p = .004; ASA 3-4, OR: 3.63 [95% CI: 1.91-6.91], p < .001). Similarly, mFI and BMI were not independently associated with prolonged hospitalization (≥2 days) (p ≥ .015), but 65+ age (reference: 18-49; OR: 2.33 [95% CI: 1.40-3.86], p = .001) and ASA 3 to 4 groups (reference: ASA 1; OR: 3.26 [95% CI: 2.06-5.14], p < .001) were. CONCLUSION: ASA status and age are more useful modalities than mFI or BMI in predicting poor postoperative morbidity in mandibular ORIF. These simple metrics can assist with managing surgeons' expectations for mandibular ORIF patients.

The Impact of Facility Type and Volume on Outcomes in Head and Neck Mucosal Melanoma.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate differences in treatment outcomes for head and neck mucosal melanoma (HNMM) patients seen at academic versus nonacademic centers and high versus low volume facilities. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: National Cancer Database. METHODS: Differences in treatment course and overall survival (OS) by facility type and volume were assessed for 2772 HNMM cases reported by the 2004 to 2017 National Cancer Database. A subgroup analysis was performed with a smaller cohort containing staging data. The analysis employed Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: A higher proportion of patients treated at academic centers within the HNMM cohort waited longer for surgery after diagnosis (p < .001), had negative surgical margins (p < .001), and were readmitted to the hospital within 30 days of surgery (p = .001); these relationships remained significant when controlling for cancer stage. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated higher 5-year OS for patients treated at academic versus nonacademic facilities within the main cohort (32.5% ± 1.3% vs 27.3% ± 1.5%; p = .006) and within the stage-controlled subgroup (34.8% ± 2.1% vs 27.2% ± 2.6%; p = .003). Treatment at high volume versus low volume facilities was associated with improved 5-year OS for main cohort patients (33.5% ± 1.7% vs 28.8% ± 1.2%; p = .016) but not for subgroup patients (35.3% ± 2.7% vs 30.1% ± 2.1%; p = .100). Upon multivariate analysis controlling for demographic and oncologic factors, there was no significant difference in OS by facility type (main cohort: odds ratio [OR] = 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.01-1.21; subgroup: OR = 1.13, 95% CI = 0.97-1.32). CONCLUSION: Neither facility type nor surgical volume predicts overall survival in HNMM.

Impact of Treatment Modalities upon Survival Outcomes in Skull Base and Clival Chordoma: An NCDB Analysis.

Objectives Skull base chordomas are locally aggressive malignant tumors derived from the notochord remnant. There are limited large-scale studies examining the role and extent of surgery and radiation therapy. Design Analysis of the National Cancer Database (NCDB) was performed to evaluate the survival outcomes of various treatments, and to assess for predictors of overall survival (OS). Participants This is a retrospective, population-based cohort study of patients diagnosed with a clival/skull base chordoma between 2004 and 2015 in the NCDB. Main Outcome Measures The primary outcome was overall survival (OS). Results In all, 468 cases were identified. Forty-nine percent of patients received surgery and 20.7% had positive margins. Mean age at diagnosis was 48.4 years in the surgical cohort, and 55% were males. Of the surgical cohort, 33.8% had negative margins, 20.7% had positive margins, and 45.5% had unknown margin status. Age ≥ 65 (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.07; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.63-5.76; p < 0.001), diagnosis between 2010 and 2015 (HR: 0.49; 95% CI: 0.26-0.90; p = 0.022), tumor size >5 cm (HR: 2.29; 95% CI: 1.26-4.15; p = 0.007), and government insurance (HR: 2.28; 95% CI: 1.24-4.2; p = 0.008) were independent predictors of OS. When comparing surgery with or without adjuvant radiation, no survival differences were found, regardless of margin status ( p = 0.66). Conclusion Surgery remains the mainstay of therapy. Advanced age (>65 years), large tumor size, and government insurance were predictors of worse OS. Whereas negative margins and the use of adjuvant radiation did not appear to impact OS, these may very well reduce local recurrences. A multidisciplinary approach is critical in achieving optimal outcomes in this challenging disease.

A comparative analysis of treatment efficacy in intermediate-risk thyroid cancer.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of different treatment combinations on patient survival in intermediate-risk differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). METHODS: The 2004-2017 National Cancer Database was queried for intermediate-risk papillary (PTC), follicular (FTC), or Hurthle cell (HTC) thyroid cancer patients. Four treatments were analyzed using Kaplan Meier and multivariable Cox regression: surgery, surgery with adjuvant radioiodine ablation (S + RAI), surgery with adjuvant thyroid-stimulating hormone suppression therapy (S + THST), and S + RAI + THST. Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox proportional-hazards analyses evaluated treatment-associated overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Of 65,736 patients, 72.2% were female and the average age was 45.4 ± 15.4 years. The 10-year OS rates for PTC, FTC, and HTC were 93.2%, 85.2%, and 78.5%, respectively. S + RAI + THST exhibited higher OS than surgery alone and S + RAI (all p < 0.05). Compared to surgery alone, S + RAI + THST demonstrated reduced mortality in PTC (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 0.628, p < 0.001), FTC (HR: 0.490, p < 0.001), and HTC (HR: 0.520, p = 0.006). Similarly, adjuvant RAI + THST reduced mortality regardless of lymphovascular invasion (HR: 0.490, p < 0.001), N1a (HR: 0.570, p < 0.001) or N1b metastasis (HR: 0.621, p < 0.001), or positive margin status (HR: 0.572, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Treatment combinations demonstrated varying efficacies in intermediate-risk DTC depending on histology and tumor characteristics, with S + RAI + THST exhibiting the greatest treatment response.

Diagnosis, Prognosticators, and Management of Acute Invasive Fungal Rhinosinusitis: Multidisciplinary Consensus Statement and Evidence-Based Review with Recommendations.

BACKGROUND: Acute invasive fungal sinusitis (AIFS) is an aggressive disease that requires prompt diagnosis and multidisciplinary treatment given its rapid progression. However, there is currently no consensus on diagnosis, prognosis, and management strategies for AIFS, with multiple modalities routinely employed. The purpose of this multi-institutional and multidisciplinary evidence-based review with recommendations (EBRR) is to thoroughly review the literature on AIFS, summarize the existing evidence, and provide recommendations on the management of AIFS. METHODS: The PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases were systematically reviewed from inception through January 2022. Studies evaluating management for orbital, non-sinonasal head and neck, and intracranial manifestations of AIFS were included. An iterative review process was utilized in accordance with EBRR guidelines. Levels of evidence and recommendations on management principles for AIFS were generated. RESULTS: A review and evaluation of published literature was performed on 12 topics surrounding AIFS (signs and symptoms, laboratory and microbiology diagnostics, endoscopy, imaging, pathology, surgery, medical therapy, management of extrasinus extension, reversing immunosuppression, and outcomes and survival). The aggregate quality of evidence was varied across reviewed domains. CONCLUSION: Based on the currently available evidence, judicious utilization of a combination of history and physical examination, laboratory and histopathologic techniques, and endoscopy provide the cornerstone for accurate diagnosis of AIFS. In addition, AIFS is optimally managed by a multidisciplinary team via a combination of surgery (including resection whenever possible), antifungal therapy, and correcting sources of immunosuppression. Higher quality (i.e., prospective) studies are needed to better define the roles of each modality and determine diagnosis and treatment algorithms.

Facility Volume as a Prognosticator of Survival in Locally Advanced Papillary Thyroid Cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the influence of facility case-volume on survival in patients with locally advanced papillary thyroid cancer (PTC), and to identify prognostic case-volume thresholds for facilities managing this patient population. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective database study. METHODS: The 2004-2017 National Cancer Database was queried for patients receiving definitive surgery for locally advanced PTC. Using K-means clustering and multivariable Cox proportional-hazards (CPH) regression, two groups with distinct spectrums of facility case-volumes were generated. Multivariable CPH regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis assessed for the influence of facility case-volume and the prognostic value of its stratification on overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Of 48,899 patients treated at 1304 facilities, there were 34,312 (70.2%) females and the mean age was 48.0 ± 16.0 years. Increased facility volume was significantly associated with reduced all-cause mortality (HR 0.996; 95% CI, 0.992-0.999; p = 0.008). Five facility clusters were generated, from which two distinct cohorts were identified: low (LVF; <27 cases/year) and high (HVF; ≥27 cases/year) facility case-volume. Patients at HVFs were associated with reduced mortality compared to those at LVFs (HR 0.791; 95% CI, 0.678-0.923, p = 0.003). Kaplan-Meier analysis of propensity score-matched N0 and N1 patients demonstrated higher OS in HVF cohorts (all p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Facility case-volume was an independent predictor of improved OS in locally advanced PTC, indicating a possible survival benefit at high-volume medical centers. Specifically, independent of a number of sociodemographic and clinical factors, facilities that treated ≥27 cases per year were associated with increased OS. Patients with locally advanced PTC may, therefore, benefit from referrals to higher-volume facilities. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 4 Laryngoscope, 133:443-450, 2023.

Stage-Specific Survival in Young Patients With Oral Tongue Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: To determine demographic factors and clinicopathologic characteristics associated with survival in young patients (age <45 years) with early- (I-II) or late-stage (III-IV) oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma (OTSCC). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective database review. SETTING: National Cancer Database. METHODS: A retrospective review of 3262 OTSCC cases in young patients between 2005 and 2014 was performed by using data from the National Cancer Database. Factors affecting 2-year survival in patients with early- and late-stage disease were evaluated via univariate and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: Overall, 1899 patients with early-stage OTSCC and 1363 with late-stage OTSCC were analyzed. In multivariate analysis of early-stage OTSCC, high tumor grade (hazard ratio, 2.08 [95% CI, 1.45-2.99]), local metastasis (2.85 [1.37-5.95]), and tumor size (1.04 [1.02-1.07]) were predictors of mortality. In late-stage OTSCC, African American race (2.79 [1.40-5.56]), positive surgical margins (1.77 [1.07-2.93]), local metastasis (2.20 [1.03-4.72]), distant metastasis (11.66 [2.10-64.73]), depth of invasion (1.03 [1.01-1.05]), and tumor size (1.01 [1.003-1.01]) were predictors of mortality. Subset analysis of clinical N0-stage tumors revealed that treatment with surgery alone was associated with improved survival (P < .001). CONCLUSION: Positive lymph nodes, high tumor grade, and larger tumor size were associated with increased mortality risk in early- and late-stage young OTSCC. More aggressive up-front treatment, including extirpative surgery and elective neck dissection, may be associated with improved outcomes and should be considered in early-stage cases with high-risk features.

Prognostic Utility of Tumor Stage versus American Thyroid Association Risk Class in Thyroid Cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prognostic strengths of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging and American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk classification in well-differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), and their implications in guiding medical decision-making and epidemiological study designs. METHODS: The 2004-2017 National Cancer Database was queried for DTC patients. Cox proportional hazards (CPH) and Kaplan-Meier analyses modeled patient mortality and overall survival, respectively. Each CPH model was evaluated by its concordance index, measure of explained randomness (MER), Akaike information criterion (AIC), and area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Overall, 134,226 patients were analyzed, with an average age of 48.1 ± 15.1 years (76.9% female). Univariate CPH models using AJCC staging demonstrated higher concordance indices, MERs, and AUCs than those using ATA risk classification (all p < 0.001). Multivariable CPH models using AJCC staging demonstrated higher concordance indices (p = 0.049), MERs (p = 0.046), and AUCs (p = 0.002) than those using ATA risk classification. The AICs of multivariable AJCC staging and ATA risk models were 7.564 × 104 and 7.603 × 104 , respectively. AJCC stage I tumors were associated with greater overall survival than those classified as ATA low risk, whereas AJCC stages II-III and stage IV tumors demonstrated worse survival than ATA intermediate- and high-risk tumors, respectively (all p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: AJCC staging may be a more predictive system for patient survival than ATA risk. The prognostic utility of these two systems converges when additional demographic and clinical factors are considered. AJCC staging was found to classify patients across a wider range of survival patterns than the ATA risk stratification system. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 4 Laryngoscope, 133:205-211, 2023.